-The Donald, after making notable changes in his campaign staff, has actually decided to remain on a disciplined message over the last couple weeks. I have to say I'm surprised he's actually been using a teleprompter and sticking mainly to it for the last two weeks. It's made his message more effective in getting traction against Hillary. However, the way he's delivered the message sounds like one geared to his base support (blue-collar types) and not college-educated types that is keeping down the amount of GOP support for the GOP nominee. His outreach to minority voters is a good move for him. However, saying that Hillary is a "bigot" and saying that blacks should vote for him so they don't get shot is language that appeals directly to many blue collar types and not to white collar suburbanites. Folks say if he gets 12-15% of the black vote he'll win the election. I agree, however, the highest share of the black vote I ever remember a GOP nominee receiving was about 10%. So the Donald is absolutely trying to win with a formula outside the box: enthused blue collar white males and disaffected minorities. We'll see how this works out.
- One thing that is keeping this race from being a typical landslide is that Hillary is very flawed candidate. Recent revelations of previously unseen emails and possible connection between donating to the Clinton Foundation and access to the Secretary of State's office are just a couple of the new things that really fortify doubts of Hillary's veracity. That plus Hillary's lack of public availability and simply attacking the Donald's character instead of talking about differences on the issues really leave a golden opportunity for her unfulfilled. Will it cost her on November 8?
So I've put together a projected electoral map as of today. Changes will be made as I see fit as the race moves closer to November 8.
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