- It's clear to me that the past 30 days have seen quite the shift in the narrative. A month ago we're talking about the Donald's lack of temperament in going after killed Gold Star soldier's families and Hillary riding high with double digit poll leads after the Democratic National Convention. The narrative was what new gaffe the Donald would do next and could he actually show any ounce of discipline on the campaign trail. Projections were driving towards a Obama vs. McCain type blowout if not worse.
Well, times have changed since then. The Donald changed around the top brass of his campaign with a mix of Nationalist activists, campaign vets and polling specialists. This new team has convinced the Donald to use a teleprompter and Voila!, the Donald has suddenly become a pretty disciplined campaigner the past month. As this is going on, the drip, drip, drip of Hillary's email revelations and her FBI testimony with various explanations of her actions have really brought any momentum she had after the DNC to a screeching halt.
The past two weeks are a microcosm of what has happened. As Hillary is fighting off accusations on her veracity and health while saying the Donald is dangerous. The Donald is having a presser with the Mexican President, giving speeches in inner city schools and churches and talking about issues of immigration, national defense and school choice. These tactics has increased his support among moderate GOPers and independents. So it really should be no surprise that the polls are tightening. Last month, I said that while I thought Hillary had an 80/20 chance of winning this race, but the only reason it isn't higher is because it's Hillary, who's not known for her campaigning skills. Well, we're seeing that her campaigning skills are not inspiring confidence right now.
- As the polls tighten, the map is changing. I'm thinking the momentum is with the Donald right now. I see some of the states he needs to win, namely OH, FL and Maine 2nd District are really moving towards his direction. This is reflected to my current map.
So my assessment, buckle up!
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